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BlackRock turns cautious on emerging markets, upgrades eurozone government bonds


Akbar Novruz

BlackRock Inc. has revised its investment outlook through
mid-2026, adopting a more cautious stance on emerging market
equities while upgrading its view on short- and medium-term
eurozone government bonds, AzerNEWS reports.

According to a report by the BlackRock Investment Institute, one
of the key reasons for the downgrade is growing concern over the
high concentration of artificial intelligence-related companies in
several emerging markets, particularly Taiwan and South Korea,
whose equity markets are heavily dependent on the AI sector.

The report notes that geographical diversification alone does
not eliminate concentration risks when multiple markets are tied to
the same technology value chain.

Emerging market stocks have come under pressure in recent weeks
amid a broader sell-off in technology shares and expectations that
the US Federal Reserve could maintain tighter monetary policy. As a
result, the MSCI Emerging Markets Index is on track for its weakest
monthly performance since March.

Despite the more cautious view on emerging markets, BlackRock
maintained a positive outlook on US equities, particularly
technology stocks, arguing that continued investment in artificial
intelligence will remain a key driver of growth and further
increase the weight of US stocks in global investment
portfolios.

In fixed-income markets, the firm upgraded short- and
medium-term eurozone government bonds from “neutral” to
“outperform,” saying investors may be overestimating how long
restrictive monetary policy will remain in place.

BlackRock, however, maintained its “underperform” rating on
long-term US government bonds, citing persistent inflationary
pressures linked to investments in AI infrastructure, which have
reduced their appeal as traditional safe-haven assets.

The firm also noted that credit markets remain resilient,
supported by low default rates and strong debt repayment activity.
It continues to favor highly rated US and European high-yield
corporate bonds over investment-grade debt, with a preference for
short-duration high-yield bonds due to their lower sensitivity to
interest rate movements.

Jean Boivin, Head of the BlackRock Investment Institute, said
the rapid expansion of artificial intelligence is creating new
opportunities for selective investment strategies in credit markets
and is expected to become one of the key drivers shaping investment
decisions in the coming years.



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